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  1. #13
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
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    shrewsbury, pa
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    6,232

    Re: Balbomb's NFL Bets for 2024

    Quote Originally Posted by Shas View Post
    I am not a gambler. But was surprised how low the Seahawks are rated.


    NFL Network was replaying the Rams game yesterday. They showed McDonald trying to slow down Stafford. Guess what Mike, you get him twice a year now.





  2. #14
    Join Date
    Jul 2011
    Location
    Sacramento, CA
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    15,470
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    Re: Balbomb's NFL Bets for 2024

    Quote Originally Posted by stevez51 View Post
    NFL Network was replaying the Rams game yesterday. They showed McDonald trying to slow down Stafford. Guess what Mike, you get him twice a year now.
    Going to be different without the Ravens players...





  3. #15

    Re: Balbomb's NFL Bets for 2024

    It would seem to me that betting future win totals in the NFL is so dependent on quarterback injuries. I donít know how I could do it knowing that one Aaron Rodgers Achilles pop instantly changes the entire outlook of a season. Iím curious how it compares to other sports. Certainly losing a superstar in any sport is going to hurt. But it just feels like quarterbacks in football are essential to win totals.





  4. #16

    Re: Balbomb's NFL Bets for 2024

    Quote Originally Posted by Ravenswarrior19 View Post
    It would seem to me that betting future win totals in the NFL is so dependent on quarterback injuries. I donít know how I could do it knowing that one Aaron Rodgers Achilles pop instantly changes the entire outlook of a season. Iím curious how it compares to other sports. Certainly losing a superstar in any sport is going to hurt. But it just feels like quarterbacks in football are essential to win totals.
    Basically you look at it like any other bet. If your starting qb gets injured game 3 in this bet or 10 minutes into the game in a single game bet you almost certainly will lose. Also you evaluate this like you would a single game, is the qb more likely to be injured (Aaron Rodgers) over the course of a season? In the end you hope luck evens out (it never does some are lucky some arenít), but thatís the theory.





  5. #17

    Re: Balbomb's NFL Bets for 2024

    Btw, for anyone looking to invest in longterm season bets (win totals, win division, etc), before they announce the schedule is the best time to do it. The smart pros normally start to have more time with nba and hockey slowing down, and the lines will quickly become far far more difficult to bet.





  6. Re: Balbomb's NFL Bets for 2024

    Quote Originally Posted by JimZipCode View Post
    Mine often suck.
    Which further proves how hard it is.
    "Life isn't about how to survive the storm, but how to dance in the rain."






  7. #19
    Join Date
    Jun 2011
    Location
    New York City
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    38,090
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    Cool Re: Balbomb's NFL Bets for 2024

    Quote Originally Posted by blueridgemtnman View Post
    Which further proves how hard it is.
    I have a friend who says, "If you want to double your money, fold it in half!"




    Damn, can't quadruple it though... Bc





  8. #20

    Re: Balbomb's NFL Bets for 2024

    Quote Originally Posted by jonboy79 View Post
    I stopped betting on sports, it seems the more I thought I knew the worse I did. Vegas are rich people because they make this hard.


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
    The only nice thing about sports betting, and poker, is that long term there is the ability to win at it. Everything else in the casino if you are up money you know it's only a matter of time until you lose it.

    It also takes a heck of a lot of discipline. Can't drink or party during the games because Sunday night at around 5pm pacific when the lines come out for next week is by far the best time to bet, can't put some fun money on the Sunday/monday night games because those markets are so hammered down you almost never can find an edge. Definitely way more fun to bet with money you are fine with losing, and even then it's like golf: challenging and frustrating.





  9. #21

    Re: Balbomb's NFL Bets for 2024

    Alright if anyone was following along with me in the hockey thread, things are going really well for me in playoffs. I bet Dallas at the perfect time after losing game 1 to win the series at +190 and win the cup at 10-1. So might as well do some investing.

    Rarely wise to tie up money for such a long period of time but after Warren Sharp released his strength of schedule this year betting the Chargers was a no brainer. They are O8.5 wins at -160 which is just too steep to tie up money for that long so the bet is

    Chargers to make the playoffs -110 3units





  10. #22

    Re: Balbomb's NFL Bets for 2024

    Also this isn't counted towards the stats this year, but Usyk at Even Money or better is a must bet against Fury.





  11. #23

    Re: Balbomb's NFL Bets for 2024

    Fury by KO





  12. #24

    Re: Balbomb's NFL Bets for 2024

    That was really dirty what the judge did in the ring. Two different times he should have saved Fury, a ten count was about a 25 count, and then he let him sleep in the corner before round ten for an extra 20 seconds.

    I was pretty disappointed with Usyk's movement and energy I thought both would be better, but happy to win that bet and will be thrilled to bet him again at anything under -150.





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