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Thread: Why vote for Biden
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10-20-2020, 03:06 PM #97Veteran Poster
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Re: Why vote for Biden
Hopefully you realize that a Laffer curve theoretical projection is not exclusively applicable to the federal government, but in fact to any government model.
And California is now experimenting boldly with direct manipulation of that curve with unintended consequences. (i.e. causing the productive and the wealthy to flee).
It's right up there as a top priority for leftist policy in California, alongside shitting in the street, and decriminalizing theft from retail stores.
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10-20-2020, 04:07 PM #98
Re: Why vote for Biden
So your understanding indicates that a reduction to a lower tax rate increasing the total annual revenue was not a shift towards a more ideal rate? That the increased revenue was unrelated to the tax cut and as such Revenue would have increased by more had the tax cuts never happened. That is debatable and an uncertain result.
Or do you have another explanation? I find that one reasonable and up for debate, but am curious if you have another point of view.
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10-21-2020, 03:44 AM #99Pro Bowl Poster
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Re: Why vote for Biden
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Re: Why vote for Biden
Reducing the tax rate doesn't ipso facto increase total annual revenue, especially in terms of real dollars. The number of factors involved in the economies precludes ever determining tax cuts as The Reason for economic growth, and the real world numbers point against it. Take, for example, the "Trump tax cuts" that Ryan and McConnell jammed through Congress. GDP growth remained the same. There was a short bump, but it quickly faded. The cuts were also accompanied by significant spending increases, taking the deficit from about $400 billion to $1 trillion. Crediting the tax cuts for the short-lived increase in growth isn't founded. It's wishful thinking.
Economists have debated the Laffer Curve for decades. They were debating it before Laffer drew on his napkin and got his name attached to it. Before Laffer, and after, economists debated the optimal tax rate, which is the rate which collects the most revenue for the government. Optimal in this context has nothing to do with the desirability of such a policy; it's just a mathematical determination of maximum revenue.
Estimates of what this optimal rate are vary, but the mid-point of the estimates is about 70%. Taking the mid-point as correct for the purposes of discussion and illustration, this means any tax rate to the right (less than) 70% could be increased to achieve gains in revenue, while rates higher than 70% won't increase revenue.
In short, whether increasing or decreasing tax rates depends on where the rates were before doing so. As our tax rates are well below 70%, decreasing them doesn't increase revenue. It reduces it. We could increase taxes to increase revenues from our current plot on the Laffer Curve.
Tax revenues haven't gone up in real terms following the Trump tax cuts. They've dropped. Not a lot, but still a decrease in real (constant) dollars.
http://www.crfb.org/blogs/no-tax-rev...x%20cut%20laws.
CBO estimated a .6% increase in revenues, which is offset by the 1.6% inflation we had over the same time period. Revenues needed to increase at the rate of inflation just to keep pace, but failed to do so.
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Re: Why vote for Biden
The basic theory of the Laffer Curve is this: at 0% tax rates the government collects no revenues (for an obvious reason) and at 100% the government collects no revenues (because no one earns taxable income if it's all taken in taxes). Somewhere in between those two points is the optimal tax rate, a rate which maximizes tax revenues. Above the OTR, tax avoidance cuts into any gains, reducing revenues collected. Below the rate, the government is "leaving money on the table," in poker terms. Money they could have collected but didn't because they didn't try.
Taxing at the OTR isn't good policy, imo, but if we're going to demand a large government we should pay for it instead of subsidizing our political choices with a credit card.
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10-21-2020, 08:49 AM #102
Re: Why vote for Biden
The GOP Senate investigated Biden. They were looking to do damage. It ended in a whimper. Now we have evidence from Rudy G (Trump's right hand man). Just like Benghazi and the Russia investigation...on and on it goes. Just like the Russia investigation, the DOJ and Senate investigations to investigate the investigators have not fulfilled the promises. It's all a game on both sides.
In your election examples, you only mention GOP talking points. Didn't mention things happening on the other side. In either case, getting an advantage during voting has always happened in small doses from each side. Trump paints the broad brush of election corruption as if this was coming from a 3rd world country. The president is telling his country to not trust the results if HE loses. I can't see how folks don't see the bad in that.
It doesn't matter if the kidnappers were Trump supporters or not. It's just the overall climate and temperature of this country. All I'm saying that he is playing a part of raising this temperature by the things he says and types. He is the president and he has a responsibility to surpress his grievances for the greater good of the country. Not poor gasoline on it.
I think we can agree that half of the country feels this way about Trump as stated in my original comment. Half of the country also thinks I'm smoking crack.
50/50 means that I'm not off the planet with my assessment.
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10-21-2020, 09:05 AM #103
Re: Why vote for Biden
Strategically, why would Biden flood the airways when Trump hangs himself everyday when he speaks or give a rally? This isn't about Trump's base that he is whipping up, it's about independents and undecided.
I disagree with Biden's cognitive ability. Listening to you guys, I was scared to watch the first debate. I just figured he would be this lost old man. The bar was set so low and he slammed through it. It showed people he isn't as what Trump said. I think it was a poor strategic move by Trump to paint that picture. Of course Trump supporters will still see him as such. But others were refreshed to see that he was normal Joe.
Now I watch him speak and don't have those concerns other than the normal screw ups when he gets excited.
Covid. Well we will just have to disagree with how Trump has handled this. He is all over the place. But we do know it's a major factor for this election. Politically, it's smart of Biden to make the election about it. We all know if there was a Dem I'm office, the GOP is great at lazor focusing on an adminstrations weakness. We have a many of tweets from Trump about what should happen to Obama during his virus outbreaks.
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10-21-2020, 10:35 AM #104Regular 1st Stringer
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Re: Why vote for Biden
Trump has been his own worst enemy w/some of the things he says.But he also has a passionate following.
The left isn't voting for Biden because they love Biden.They know he's nothing but a shell-a Trojan Horse-from which hordes of leftist extremists will emerge and take the real power.He'll retire w/i 2 years.
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10-21-2020, 10:43 AM #105Veteran Poster
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Re: Why vote for Biden
If a dem was in office. And that dem wanted to open the country, but GOP govs wanted to continue to shut things down. No, we would not be blaming the dem for the shut down. Or the collapse.
It’s amazing the left has the balls to do this.
Not so amazing that ignorant liberal voters with TDS, eat it up.
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10-21-2020, 10:45 AM #106Veteran Poster
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Re: Why vote for Biden
Does anyone think that the left will accept defeat this time? Or will the left spend the next 4 years trying to overturn another election?
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10-21-2020, 11:46 AM #107
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10-21-2020, 11:52 AM #108Pro Bowl Poster
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Re: Why vote for Biden
Just curious...if Biden is announced as the president elect on November 4, would you accept the result? Is the winner only legitimate if it’s Trump? Or does Biden lose no matter what in your world. Your post seems to imply that the election results shouldn’t be overturned so I am wondering if that goes for if Biden wins as well.
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