Evidence Suggests That Lamar Jackson Will be Better in 2019

[WrongBaldy]

goff and trubisky are just not good. i want lamar to be like rusty wilson

[JimZipCode]

goff and trubisky are just not good. i want lamar to be like rusty wilson

Great comp for Lamar. They were very similar as players, their first three years in college.

Lamar is going to be somewhere in the Russell Wilson / Donovan McNabb / Steve Young area.

[edromeo]

I re-watched the Chiefs game on NFLN and noticed some pivotal plays that changed the outcome of the game. The play below was the sack fumble that lost the Chiefs game.

The play below was a failure for 2 reasons:
-pass protection failure (Lamar fixing the protection and the back making the block)
-ball security



There are a couple reasons why I think this same play could be executed better this season:

-Mark Ingram is a veteran RB and although I haven't seen his numbers I assume that playing in the backfield with Drew Brees that Ingram will know his blocking assignments and execute his blocking assignments much better then Montgomery did

-Lamar will have a deeper understanding of all aspects of the playbook and will recognize and call out/adjust blocking assignments much more effectively then last year

-Lamar will have improved his ball security

[The Excellector]

Lamar improving should go without saying. Now, ‘how much’ is up for debate, but improvement alone shouldn’t be a question.

[JimZipCode]

There are a couple reasons why I think this same play could be executed better this season:

-Mark Ingram is a veteran RB and although I haven't seen his numbers I assume that playing in the backfield with Drew Brees that Ingram will know his blocking assignments and execute his blocking assignments much better then Montgomery did

Whooooo, I'm 1,000% sure you're right about that. Ingram has his pass-blocking down cold. I spose Montgomery should, since he played with Rodgers: but Ingram definitely does.

You didn't mention improved play from the LG spot (Eleumenor or Powers). Not that any one blocker could handle both pass rushers: but that doorway might not be so wide open for the blitzer to stroll thru this year.

[Jfoh]

I think our o line will be much better than people expect. Early season we will be a run first team until teams start to either sell out to stop the run and stop LJ or our passing game jells. But by game 6-8 we could start to open up the passing attack. LJ on roll outs has to be a nightmare for defenders. He’s so fast you can’t cheat to stop him. If he has the touch to hit those 5-10 passes on a rollout to a TE or slot wr everything become a high risk play for defenses. Drop off him he burns you. Come up too fast he flips the ball to Snead or a TE or RB and you just gave up 10-15 yards.

I think defenses will decide the only safe way to play him is to keep him in the pocket. They can’t rush too far up field on the ends because he is so crazy fast and elusive. It should be a lot of fun to watch him grow.

[JimZipCode]

Lamar improving should go without saying. Now, ‘how much’ is up for debate, but improvement alone shouldn’t be a question.

Yes.

And I don't think people realize how damn little real improvement was needed, for Lamar to be a productive full-time passer. He was right on the threshold last season; and his receivers had a 6% drop rate. No "dramatic" overhaul necessary. Just a little tweak here & there, along with improved play from the pass-catchers, and Lamar is right in the 62-65% sweet spot.

Rank	Team	Attempts	Drops	Drop%
1	Los Angeles Rams	568	9	1.6%
2	Seattle Seahawks	427	8	1.9%
3	Dallas Cowboys	527	10	1.9%
4	Houston Texans	506	10	2.0%
5	Carolina Panthers	563	13	2.3%
6	Pittsburgh Steelers	689	16	2.3%
7	Chicago Bears	512	12	2.3%
8	Washington Redskins	509	14	2.8%
9	Atlanta Falcons	617	17	2.8%
10	Detroit Lions	574	16	2.8%
11	Miami Dolphins	455	13	2.9%
12	Philadelphia Eagles	599	18	3.0%
13	San Francisco 49ers	532	16	3.0%
14	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	625	19	3.0%
15	New Orleans Saints	519	16	3.1%
16	Green Bay Packers	640	20	3.1%
17	Los Angeles Chargers	512	16	3.1%
18	Buffalo Bills	499	16	3.2%
19	Baltimore Ravens	556	18	3.2%
20	New York Giants	583	19	3.3%
21	Arizona Cardinals	495	17	3.4%
22	Cleveland Browns	574	20	3.5%
23	New York Jets	524	19	3.6%
24	Minnesota Vikings	606	22	3.6%
25	Tennessee Titans	437	16	3.7%
26	Oakland Raiders	556	22	4.0%
27	New England Patriots	574	23	4.0%
28	Kansas City Chiefs	583	24	4.1%
29	Indianapolis Colts	644	28	4.3%
30	Cincinnati Bengals	542	25	4.6%
31	Denver Broncos	588	29	4.9%
–	Lamar's pass catchers	199	12	6.0%
32	Jacksonville Jaguars	536	33	6.2%

---

Lamar's drop rate from, I think Solak's web site. He had Ravens receivers "failing to catch" 12 good targets; and creating two catches with great plays on balls that they probably "shouldn't" have caught, for a net -10 on Lamar's passes. His adjusted completion % for Lamar was around 63% or so (don't remember the exact figure).

Team drops from here: http://stats.washingtonpost.com/fb/t...2&type=Rushing

Divided by attempts from PFR.

[BearArms]

Yes.

And I don't think people realize how damn little real improvement was needed, for Lamar to be a productive full-time passer. He was right on the threshold last season; and his receivers had a 6% drop rate. No "dramatic" overhaul necessary. Just a little tweak here & there, along with improved play from the pass-catchers, and Lamar is right in the 62-65% sweet spot.

Rank	Team	Attempts	Drops	Drop%
1	Los Angeles Rams	568	9	1.6%
2	Seattle Seahawks	427	8	1.9%
3	Dallas Cowboys	527	10	1.9%
4	Houston Texans	506	10	2.0%
5	Carolina Panthers	563	13	2.3%
6	Pittsburgh Steelers	689	16	2.3%
7	Chicago Bears	512	12	2.3%
8	Washington Redskins	509	14	2.8%
9	Atlanta Falcons	617	17	2.8%
10	Detroit Lions	574	16	2.8%
11	Miami Dolphins	455	13	2.9%
12	Philadelphia Eagles	599	18	3.0%
13	San Francisco 49ers	532	16	3.0%
14	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	625	19	3.0%
15	New Orleans Saints	519	16	3.1%
16	Green Bay Packers	640	20	3.1%
17	Los Angeles Chargers	512	16	3.1%
18	Buffalo Bills	499	16	3.2%
19	Baltimore Ravens	556	18	3.2%
20	New York Giants	583	19	3.3%
21	Arizona Cardinals	495	17	3.4%
22	Cleveland Browns	574	20	3.5%
23	New York Jets	524	19	3.6%
24	Minnesota Vikings	606	22	3.6%
25	Tennessee Titans	437	16	3.7%
26	Oakland Raiders	556	22	4.0%
27	New England Patriots	574	23	4.0%
28	Kansas City Chiefs	583	24	4.1%
29	Indianapolis Colts	644	28	4.3%
30	Cincinnati Bengals	542	25	4.6%
31	Denver Broncos	588	29	4.9%
–	Lamar's pass catchers	199	12	6.0%
32	Jacksonville Jaguars	536	33	6.2%

---

Lamar's drop rate from, I think Solak's web site. He had Ravens receivers "failing to catch" 12 good targets; and creating two catches with great plays on balls that they probably "shouldn't" have caught, for a net -10 on Lamar's passes. His adjusted completion % for Lamar was around 63% or so (don't remember the exact figure).

Team drops from here: http://stats.washingtonpost.com/fb/t...2&type=Rushing

Divided by attempts from PFR.

Hey Zip, nice shout out by TL. You have got to stop listening facts though. Might cause some naysayers heads to explode!!

[edromeo]

Yes.

And I don't think people realize how damn little real improvement was needed, for Lamar to be a productive full-time passer.

Yep, but it still won't be enough because the offense likely won't put up big time volume passing stats.

I'm hoping more for a Tyrod Taylor 2015 Bills level of production.

[JimZipCode]

Yep, but it still won't be enough because the offense likely won't put up big time volume passing stats.

I'm hoping more for a Tyrod Taylor 2015 Bills level of production.

I got Lamar with 450+ attempts this season; and I think that's conservative. I'm hoping for over 480 attempts.

[edromeo]

I got Lamar with 450+ attempts this season; and I think that's conservative. I'm hoping for over 480 attempts.

Iirc I have him in the ~430 range. 480 seems like a lot considering G-Ro's past and it being year 1 in the offense.....in year 2-3 I could see it.

[BearArms]

I got Lamar with 450+ attempts this season; and I think that's conservative. I'm hoping for over 480 attempts.

30 a game could be a sweet spot and hopefully good balance. Probably more like 25 if we're winning and 30 if not.