Is predictibilty the problem?

**NCRAVEN** · 11-19-2012, 11:53 AM

For the record, I'm not complaining about the win. Just looking at areas the team could improve.

I know the Ravens hired a statistician in the offseason to look for trends in opposing teams playcalling.

Wondering if other teams are doing this against us. I ask because I feel like I picked up on something that has held true for awhile. Anytime the Ravens have an incomplete pass on 1st down, it's ALWAYS (or damn close to it) a run on 2nd down.

I'd like to know if anyone has actual numbers on this or any other trends that teams are picking up on against us.

**Captain Silver** · 11-19-2012, 11:58 AM

You don't need to be a statistician to know what Cam is going to do. That last 3rd & 2, I said to my wife, watch this moron call a pass instead of a run.

**NCRAVEN** · 11-19-2012, 12:06 PM

Originally Posted by Captain Silver

You don't need to be a statistician to know what Cam is going to do. That last 3rd & 2, I said to my wife, watch this moron call a pass instead of a run.

Haha. While that's pretty accurate, I'd like to know if there are things were doing that are as predictable as the sun coming up.

**Captain Silver** · 11-19-2012, 12:09 PM

Originally Posted by NCRAVEN

Haha. While that's pretty accurate, I'd like to know if there are things were doing that are as predictable as the sun coming up.

I am sure there is. Defenses seem to know what we are going to do before we do. Then every now and then, we get a massive yard gaining play and that is when the trend is bucked.

**alienrace** · 11-19-2012, 12:47 PM

I think the predictability goes beyond the actual sequences of calls, I think it's the plays themselves, particularly the run game. If you watch most of our run plays, the defense starts moving to where the RB is going to go very early in the play. We don't seem to do much in mis-direction or deception. Same goes for the passing game.

**NCRAVEN** · 11-19-2012, 12:51 PM

Originally Posted by alienrace

I think the predictability goes beyond the actual sequences of calls, I think it's the plays themselves, particularly the run game. If you watch most of our run plays, the defense starts moving to where the RB is going to go very early in the play. We don't seem to do much in mis-direction or deception. Same goes for the passing game.

It could be that too, maybe a combination of the two.

If I had the time, I'd love to see if X happens here, do we do X next there....