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Thread: When was the last time...
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10-21-2012, 06:07 PM #25Hall Of Fame Poster
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Re: When was the last time...
Wrong on all counts. I was actually able to find some data on historical team play-calling tendencies at their own goal line: see http://www.advancednflstats.com/2012...goal-line.html
From that article, teams run the ball on 3rd down inside their own 3 only 35% of the time! I don't know about what they do at their own 7, but at their own 3 they pass the ball 65% of the time (and, by the way, passing is a better option than running on all 3 downs.) The percentage of runs is sure to be lower at the 7 rather than the 3. So the point that "teams prefer to punt rather than try for the 1st down" is objectively wrong.
Second of all, the pass play was not a terribly bad call. 3 man bunch right, with Pitta on the line, Jones outside, and Boldin behind. Boldin is running a short hook to the outside, Pitta and Jones are also running short sideline routes. Pitta and Jones both had enough yardage for the 1st, Boldin had some space to take a short pass for YAC. Overall, a good play for the down and distance.
The Ravens kept Rice in to block, so they had 6 blockers facing 7 men on the line. 6 rushers come, so it should be straight man blocking the whole way. However, instead of Rice blocking left on Barwin, he cuts all the way across the field to help out with Brooks Reed on the right. If he would have stayed left the play would have worked.
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10-21-2012, 06:49 PM #26Pro Bowl Poster
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Re: When was the last time...
b-more-
Not sure what you mean by "Wrong on all counts..." since I only had one disagreement with you, the rest are honest questions.
You said that "You don't play offense to set up your punt, you play offense to score points", and I disagreed. In fact, the 1st sentence by the author at your link says, "It's a common practice in the NFL that when your team is backed up against your own goal line, you run the ball to "give some breathing room."" Other than the tongue-in-cheek comment at the end of the article, I stand by my original post on getting the LOS away from the goal line as I stated.
Also, I apologize that I'm not more familiar with that site. The other thing I would challenge is the concept called "efficiency". Do they mean that it is a positive gain, or is there another part to this? In other words, does being efficient mean th eteam gained a first down, or just positive yard(s), or other?
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