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  1. #31

    Re: Predict AFC Championship Game: Ravens @ Patriots



    For most of us the confidence factor is not there simply because this is a "what have you done for me lately" league and we all know the ravens didn't play their best football. Rarely do you see two consecutive weeks of bad football. If we get back to ravens football (re-establising Ray Rice, winning the turnover battle, sound defense) we will win

    Ravens 27
    NE 20




  2. #32

    Re: Predict AFC Championship Game: Ravens @ Patriots

    The defense gives up yards, but tightens up in the red zone.

    Pats 28
    Ravens 24

    Quote Originally Posted by Sec545 View Post
    The Ravens average 24 pts./gm. Because we're playing a bad defense I'll give us another td and say we score 31 pts.

    New England averages 32 pts./gm. Because they're playing a good defense they'll get one less td and score 25 pts.

    Simple analysis but all it means is that we need to hold to form on offense and defense and we can win this game by a td. How we do it is up for discussion but being 1 td better than the norm is not an impossible task.

    I have complete confidence in asking a defense that gives up 16 pts./gm. to hold the Patriots to 25 pts. For me the the x factor is asking the offense to score 31 against a defense that gives up 290 yds passing/gm and 120 yds rushing/gm. If Flacco and Rice get those kind of numbers I think the offense gets their 31.




  3. #33

    Re: Predict AFC Championship Game: Ravens @ Patriots

    Something's gotta give. Brady passed for 39 touchdowns this year (though if I'm doing the math right, only 16 of those were in home games). He added SIX against a very suspect Denver defense. The Ravens allowed only 11 passing touchdowns all year, and by defensive passer rating were the best passing defense in football. Of those 11 allowed, only five were on the road. Additionally, the Ravens never gave up more than one passing TD in a game this year.

    I honestly think the Ravens secondary against Pats receivers is a win for us. I don't really know how well we match up against the Hernandez/Gronkowski duo. Our D-line against their O-line? The Pats gave up a total of 23 sacks in home games this year, in other words averaging almost three per game. I see us being able to pressure Brady.

    The Pats gave up an average of 19.25 ppg at home this year. However, that's skewed by only giving up 3 to the Chiefs and the offensive luminary known as Tyler Palko. They gave up 21 to the Jets, 24 to the Colts and Dolphins... think we can do better than that.

    Bottom line--I think Brady does pretty well, but not well enough. Ravens 30, Pats 24.




  4. #34
    Join Date
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    Re: Predict AFC Championship Game: Ravens @ Patriots

    Ravens 52 Patriots 16




  5. #35

    Re: Predict AFC Championship Game: Ravens @ Patriots

    Ravens 42
    The Brady's 28




  6. #36
    Join Date
    Dec 2011
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    Re: Predict AFC Championship Game: Ravens @ Patriots

    Quote Originally Posted by Sec545 View Post
    The Ravens average 24 pts./gm. Because we're playing a bad defense I'll give us another td and say we score 31 pts.

    New England averages 32 pts./gm. Because they're playing a good defense they'll get one less td and score 25 pts.

    Simple analysis but all it means is that we need to hold to form on offense and defense and we can win this game by a td. How we do it is up for discussion but being 1 td better than the norm is not an impossible task.

    I have complete confidence in asking a defense that gives up 16 pts./gm. to hold the Patriots to 25 pts. For me the the x factor is asking the offense to score 31 against a defense that gives up 290 yds passing/gm and 120 yds rushing/gm. If Flacco and Rice get those kind of numbers I think the offense gets their 31.
    A game like this is all about intangibles. It's about who the team of destiny is. Stats go out the window. Just remember the 2000 playoffs. If this is the Ravens year once again they will win it. If not, they won't. In any case, it's looking to me like it will be hard for anyone to beat either the Giants or San Francisco in SB, both are looking like the team of destiny right now. But this could change this Sunday.




  7. #37

    Re: Predict AFC Championship Game: Ravens @ Patriots

    even though they committed no turnovers, the Pats hung a whopping 17 points on the steelers....

    patriots give up 24 a game, the ravens 16....

    ravens 23 patriots 14......patriots aren't unbeatable, even when they protect the football...




  8. #38

    Re: Predict AFC Championship Game: Ravens @ Patriots

    Quote Originally Posted by lovefootball View Post
    Ravens win, that is all that matters. Who do the pats have to back up brady? Have a feeling we will be seeing this person.
    Counting on the starting QB to be knocked out is wishful thinking.




  9. #39

    Re: Predict AFC Championship Game: Ravens @ Patriots

    Quote Originally Posted by PurpleApocalypse37 View Post
    Ravens 52 Patriots 16
    When was the last time the Ravens put up 50 on Anyone?




  10. #40
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    Re: Predict AFC Championship Game: Ravens @ Patriots

    Quote Originally Posted by veritas View Post
    2. Ravens can't get to Brady just as they couldn't get to Yates.
    That was by design. They only brought more than 4 rushers once or twice the entire game. The plan was to drop into coverage and make Yates throw it. Which he did, six times to our defenders.




  11. #41
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    Re: Predict AFC Championship Game: Ravens @ Patriots

    Brady will get his passes in but I'm hoping they follow the Steelers' blueprint from earlier in the year and play press-man defense and stick with our Big 4 up front, hoping they can get some hits/knockdowns/sacks on Brady. I'm thinking the Ravens establish a healthy running game which sets up playaction passes over the middle and to Torrey/Evans on the outside. Joe has played well in Foxborough (other than his PO game where he was still nursing that deep thigh bruise) and should be confident. The Pats' rushers can't hold a candle to the Texans' and he'll have time to get the matchups he wants.

    Ravens 30
    Pats 27*

    * Not sure but if the Pats go 'hurry-up' offense throughout the game it could get ugly for this Ravens "D" and the Pats could easily drop 35 on the Ravens.




  12. #42

    Re: Predict AFC Championship Game: Ravens @ Patriots

    Quote Originally Posted by tailgater View Post
    The defense gives up yards, but tightens up in the red zone.

    Pats 28
    Ravens 24
    True but if the Pats give the Ravens 290 yds passing and 120 yds rushing I feel really good about us scoring 30 pts even if 15 pts come from 5 field goals.




  13. #43

    Re: Predict AFC Championship Game: Ravens @ Patriots

    34-27 Patriots.




  14. #44

    Re: Predict AFC Championship Game: Ravens @ Patriots

    I thought that the Patriots would definitely be out of it at this point at the hands of the Steelers, but the Fighting Tebows ruined that idea.

    As far as this game goes, the Ravens are gonna win this one and I don't think it'll even be close.

    Ravens Run Offense (10th overall) vs. Pats Run Defense (17th overall)
    The excuse that you find most Patriots fans giving for their lack of defense this year is the fact that they've allowed yards but not points and have allowed yards only because of a lead. This would usually point to higher passing statistics as opposed to rushing. However, 17th overall is pretty bad considering you've been playing with a lead all year and still aren't in the top half of the league in run d. Ray Rice had a big day last playoff game against the Pats and I expect that again Sunday.

    Ravens Pass Offense (19) vs. Pats Pass Defense (31)
    Flacco had a very mediocre outing last time in Foxboro in the playoffs, but we didn't need much from him that game with the huge lead we were able to grab in the first quarter. I don't think that the lead will come quite as easily this time, but who knows. It very well could. As long as we don't give a huge lead to the Patriots, I have a lot of confidence in Flacco to make plays against this awful pass defense. As long as he doesn't make a huge mistake, I'd give us the edge. This is the matchup that will decide the game if it is a close one.

    Pats Run Offense (20) vs Ravens Run Defense (2)
    The Ravens' defense seems to be at its best when the opposing team is one dimensional. The Pats run offense leaves a lot to be desired. The biggest threat on the ground would be Green-Ellis, although Ridley received the bulk of the carries toward the end of the year. Neither one of them scares me, but I remember Danny Woodhead making some plays against us last year, but the feeling I get from Pats fans is that he is a liability in pass coverage so don't expect to see him too often. The Ravens defense definitely has the edge in this matchup, but if the Pats get going on the ground, I'd expect a loss.

    Pats Pass Offense (2) vs Ravens Pass Defense (4)
    Now this is the only area of concern for the Ravens. We've yet to see a passing attack as dynamic as theirs all year. The only one that was even close was the Chargers and we were torched by them. In that game however, Lardarius had limited playing time AND they had an effective rushing attack with Ryan Matthews to boot. My biggest concern is covering those two TEs that the best and second best in the AFC this year arguably. I'm interested to see who we put on them, but I think if they're contained, our secondary will make big plays to win the game.

    The last two games of the season, New England spotted 3 point leads but came back and won. It's convenient how Patsies fans and the national media were quick to forget about that after they destroyed a team that backed its way into the playoffs. If they spot us that kind of lead on Sunday, they will lose. While I don't see us getting a huge lead like Buffalo and Miami did, I think we will jump out to a two score lead. I think we get a 10-0 and don't look back.

    Ravens 27
    Pats 14

    Rice carries for 150 yards; Lardarius and Reed combine for another 3 picks.




  15. #45

    Re: Predict AFC Championship Game: Ravens @ Patriots

    One player will determine this game IMO, Haloti Ngata. If he dominates and pushes the pocket Ravens win, if not they lose. Ravens D allowed 16.6 points per game, Patriots 21, Not as far apart as the media would have you believe. This will be a very competitive game. Pats 31 Ravens 21




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