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  1. #16

    Re: Passing numbers way up compared to previous years



    Well it looks like AdvancedNFLstats took a look at Brees vs Marino in their latest article.

    http://www.advancednflstats.com/2011...rsus-1984.html

    On Monday night we saw history. Drew Brees eclipsed Dan Marino's record of 5,084 total passing yards on a late-game touchdown pass to Darren Sproles. Regular readers know that I'm no fan of most ever or least ever records because they're usually just trivia that end up giving the word 'stats' a bad name. Readers also know that total passing yards is not a particularly meaningful way of measuring a quarterback's skill. But it's hard to let the occasion pass without taking note.

    We can use some statistical tools to get a feel for how outstanding each season was. Drawing the line at the top 30 passers in both seasons, we can calculate the number of standard deviations Marino and Brees stand above the season average. Marino's 1984 was 2.4 standard deviations above average, while Brees' 2011 (so far) is 1.9 standard deviations above average. Marino achieved his numbers on 564 attempts while Brees has 622 attempts, and counting. Brees has 13 interceptions compared to Marino's 17. According to PFR's Adjusted Net Yards Per Attempt, which factors in yards, attempts, interceptions, and touchdown passes, Marino beats Brees 8.9 to 8.0.
    Here is another article on the difference between passing games between eras and how they adjusted the numbers...

    http://www.advancednflstats.com/2010...-analysis.html




  2. #17
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    Re: Passing numbers way up compared to previous years

    To me it goes back to DB's getting flagged for as little as using harsh language on receivers.




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