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Thread: 9.5 point favorites?!?!
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10-12-2007, 06:18 PM #13Veteran Poster
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Re: 9.5 point favorites?!?!
Uh, what?
I realize exactly how it works.
You post every week about the spread and wonder why it's this and why it's that.
You think it's based on how many points the odds makers think the favorite team will win by when in fact that's not the case at all.
You keep harping on these big spreads the Ravens are getting and wondering why.
People are telling you it's because that number is number the odds makers believe will garner the most action on both sides. But you don't seem to want to believe that.
You can spout off how I don't know about wagering but it seems to me that you can't comprehend how very simple it really is.
PP
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Re: 9.5 point favorites?!?!
I think you would have to be out of your mind taking the Ravens and giving up the points if you are the betting type.
They very well might cover I suppose, but there's no way in hell I'd bet on that happening.Will Die A Ravens Fan!!
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10-12-2007, 08:48 PM #15
Re: 9.5 point favorites?!?!
Point Spread 101
Bookies and sports books are trying to get as much action as possible split 50-50 on each team. When you bet $50 on a spread you give the house $55. If you win they pay you $105, you get back your $55 and the $50 you won. But the loser lost $55. So they take in $110 and pay out $105. THAT is how they make their money, but they are only guaranteed that if they get close to a 50-50 spread on bettting, half on each team.
They could care less who is better. They let the public determine that with their bets. If there is more action on one side or the other they move the spread to garner more action the other way.
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10-13-2007, 08:36 AM #16Legendary RSR Poster
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Re: 9.5 point favorites?!?!
I think we're saying the same thing in different ways ....
I agree with you 100%. But something determines the original number and that's team skill. That's all I was trying to say.
Yes, the final goal with books are to garner the most cash. Thats given. But that line number is indicative of a teams success and skill (or lack thereof).
With that said, from a book standpoint, I agree with most in here it's a suckers bet.
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10-13-2007, 08:39 AM #17Legendary RSR Poster
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Re: 9.5 point favorites?!?!
Yeah, you really do love to argue ....
First, when Vegas takes any games off the board in the 11th hour, its a big deal. Second, If "every week" you really mean 3 times, then yes you're right.
You and Yeahravens love to bitch about two things ---- everything and nothing. :insane:
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10-13-2007, 09:52 AM #18Veteran Poster
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10-13-2007, 10:48 AM #19
Re: 9.5 point favorites?!?!
Everyone here is arguing the same points in different words, yes vegas makes spreads to get equal action from both sides and in order to do that you have to put a spread that is accurate for the game ie. 9.5 for Baltimore, which inturn means we should win the game and that spread will get equal action or as close to it as possible, though I wish we were a dog we seem to play better the weeks we are dogs.
Hating Steeler Fans Since Birth
Section 126, Row 33
Lets Go Flacco :happyanim
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10-13-2007, 02:45 PM #20Legendary RSR Poster
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10-13-2007, 03:03 PM #21
Re: 9.5 point favorites?!?!
But something determines the original number and that's team skill.
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10-13-2007, 03:30 PM #22Legendary RSR Poster
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Re: 9.5 point favorites?!?!
I dont think anyone is arguing that point.
Another thing they consider that wasnt mentioned is the injury report (although you would know it by looking at the Ravens betting line).
I will be sure to make a full report next week (just to annoy PP) when I make my bets at Borgata's book! :D
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10-13-2007, 03:35 PM #23Veteran Poster
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10-13-2007, 04:04 PM #24Pro Bowl Poster
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