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  1. #76
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    Re: how do we stop 49ers vaunted pistol offense?



    OK, well I did a bit of research on our Defense versus Atlanta's lately, and it's pretty interesting what I found.

    I went back to the last 3 games of the regular season + the post-season.

    For Atlanta, that represents 6 games, 4 at home and 2 on the road.
    For Baltimore, that represents 7 games, 3 at home and 4 on the road.

    In this span, here is a bit of comparison, with what Atlanta allowed first, Baltimore second:

    Passing Yards: 1696 < 1552
    Total Yards: 2483 < 2393
    Yards Per Game: 413.8 < 341.9
    Passer Rating: 88.5 < 77.6
    Completion Percentage: 63.5% < 56.7%
    Yards Per Pass Attempt: 8.15 < 5.95
    Yards Per Rush Attempt: 4.86 < 3.93
    Rushing + Passing TDs: 14 < 13
    Yards Per Play: 6.71 < 5.04
    Plays Per TD: 26.4 < 36.5

    Looks like we've been playing much better defense than them down the stretch. Their defense had been on the field for an entire game and 105 plays less, but has allowed more yards and more touchdowns!

    The completion percentage and yards per pass that they allow is very, very high. Comparably, we allow much fewer completions per attempt and we allow far fewer yards per play (pass, rush, and overall).

    I think Colin Kaepernick had such success against that defense because they haven't been playing very well down the stretch, and they are a team that notoriously chokes in the playoffs.

    It won't be so easy against the Ravens.

    Recall as well that the majority of our games in this stretch have been on the road, while most of Atlanta's have been at home.
    Also, we had to do it against teams ranked the following in the relevant categories:

    Yards: 1, 4, 4, 5, 10, 14, 22
    Points: 1, 2, 2, 4, 6, 12, 19

    As opposed to Atlanta, who did it against teams ranked:

    Yards: 3, 9, 11, 12, 14, 17
    Points: 6, 9, 11, 13, 17, 19

    See the difference here? They faced 1 top 5 team in yards, we faced 4. They faced 0 top 5 teams in points, we faced 4. They played 4 games at home, only 2 on the road. We played 3 games at home, 4 on the road. And our numbers are that much better than theirs.
    Last edited by callahan09; 01-24-2013 at 03:18 PM.




  2. #77

    Re: how do we stop 49ers vaunted pistol offense?

    We have to hold our own in the trenches with the run game. The run defense has improved in the playoffs probably due to finally getting our best defenders on the field. Hopefully the lower numbers against the run against the Patriots point to a trend. The double overtime against the Broncos skew the numbers to a certain degree.

    Colts - 152yards, 5.1 average
    Broncos - 155yards, 4.0 average
    Patriots - 121 yards, 3.9 average

    The 49ers are better at running than all of those teams.

    We've been productive on the ground in the playoffs, but certainly have not dominated.

    Colts - 170 yards, 5.3 average
    Broncos - 125 yards, 3.0 average
    Patriots - 108 yards, 3.7 average

    The 49ers are a stronger run defense team than any of our previous play off opponents. We'll need to step it up on both sides to keep the running totals from being too lopsided. There's reason to believe we're peaking at the right time, but it's doubtful that we can dominate them on the ground. The X factor to me is Pierce. He has had a much better average yards per carry over Rice. Rice has been effective in screens and dump offs in space.

    I believe we can only win this game with a superior passing attack and not losing the turnover battle, something we have been good at except the Colts game. Flacco will need to repeat the performances he has had in the playoffs this year. The defense needs to confuse Kaepernick with exotic coverages to limit his effectiveness.




  3. #78

    Re: how do we stop 49ers vaunted pistol offense?

    One promising stat I saw, even though we were an uncharacteristic 20th in run defense during the regular season is that the Ravens actually finished 8th in yards per attempt (4.0). We didn't get behind big aside from the Texans and Broncos games, I guess teams were just ready to run a lot when they came to play. Indy had a lot of success but it looks like the Ravens are getting healthier and/or clamping down in the post season:

    Indianapolis: 5.06 YPC
    Denver: 3.05 YPC
    New England: 3.86 YPC (I believe their lowest all year)

    I know Kaep has a good arm, but I still think the key to winning is to keep Gore and Kaep under wraps from a rushing standpoint. If the Ravens can do that I think the D will limit the SF offense and Joe's going to have his success on the other side.




  4. #79
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    Re: how do we stop 49ers vaunted pistol offense?

    Quote Originally Posted by Shambla View Post
    One promising stat I saw, even though we were an uncharacteristic 20th in run defense during the regular season is that the Ravens actually finished 8th in yards per attempt (4.0). We didn't get behind big aside from the Texans and Broncos games, I guess teams were just ready to run a lot when they came to play. Indy had a lot of success but it looks like the Ravens are getting healthier and/or clamping down in the post season:

    Indianapolis: 5.0 YPC
    Denver: 4.0 YPC
    New England: 3.67 YPC (I believe their lowest all year)

    I know Kaep has a good arm, but I still think the key to winning is to keep Gore and Kaep under wraps from a rushing standpoint. If the Ravens can do that I think the D will limit the SF offense and Joe's going to have his success on the other side.
    I think a big part of it is Ngata is getting healthier. Ngata has been looking better every week IMO.




  5. #80
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    Re: how do we stop 49ers vaunted pistol offense?

    All the comparisons are great and they shed some light, but what they don't show is how this Ravens team is not even the team that dominated the Giants.
    This team is unrecognizable from what they were against Denver the first time.
    That throws all comparisons for a loop.

    The current Ravens team took shape for the Colts playoff game...not the week before or the week before that or the week before that. But it did take the entire season for this team to take it's current shape and identity.

    That is why it is hard to identify with hard numbers where the current Ravens are.
    I personally think the two teams have differences but they even out.

    If anyone told me before the playoffs what the Ravens defense was going to do in these 3 playoff games, I would have said, wishful thinking. Our guys are playing out of their minds. And they absolutely believe something bigger is driving them. They are beating the opposing players man-to-man across the board. Shutting out Brady in the second half was the culmination of this amazing 3 week run.

    In the end, IMHO, it will be one of two things that produce victory: The 49er youth at key positions being too much physically OR our gifted players with experience NOT making the mistakes that youth brings.
    This whole game could and probably will turn on just a very few key plays.
    Namely, a turnover or two OR a fantastic individual play or two.
    The entire rest of the game, I think, will be even and extremely hard hitting.
    Our old warriors will lay it out there like it is their last breath.
    Should be an incredible game.




  6. #81

    Re: how do we stop 49ers vaunted pistol offense?

    Just hit Kaepernick.

    But according to Niner fans Kaep comes from the planet Krypton and that once, he ran towards some gang-bangers in order to save a cat and an old lady crossing the street, in Oakland and shrugged of machine gun fire.

    True story.
    Self appointed Ravens SuperFan in the southern hemisphere/New Zealand.




  7. #82
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    Re: how do we stop 49ers vaunted pistol offense?

    Quote Originally Posted by admartian View Post
    Just hit Kaepernick.

    But according to Niner fans Kaep comes from the planet Krypton and that once, he ran towards some gang-bangers in order to save a cat and an old lady crossing the street, in Oakland and shrugged of machine gun fire.

    True story.
    Did any of those Niner fans watch their team play against Atlanta?
    If the Niner Defense (that means their off-earth QB was on the sideline) didn't stop Matty Ice at the 10 yard line (or if the Refs called PI at the 5 yardline), Atlanta would be going to New Orleans instead.




  8. #83

    Re: how do we stop 49ers vaunted pistol offense?

    Quote Originally Posted by Ravens44 View Post
    Did any of those Niner fans watch their team play against Atlanta?
    If the Niner Defense (that means their off-earth QB was on the sideline) didn't stop Matty Ice at the 10 yard line (or if the Refs called PI at the 5 yardline), Atlanta would be going to New Orleans instead.
    Nah man - you jsut hatin'. When was the national media ever wrong???? This is the same national media that said we wouldn't win against the Broncs, Pats or ....errr....... um.... I mean....



    Hail Kapernick, supreme overlord of the earth!
    Self appointed Ravens SuperFan in the southern hemisphere/New Zealand.




  9. #84
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    Re: how do we stop 49ers vaunted pistol offense?

    Actually, I see Ngata, Suggs and Upshaw as the keys to this game for the Ravens. As Haloti92 & JeremiahW pointed out, the issue becomes edge discipline and inside physicality. Ngata/Kemo/Cody MUST account for Gore on EVERY play, and Upshaw and Suggs MUST maintain the edge on Kaepernick. He seems quick and fast enough that a momentary slip-up by our edge guys could equal a big gain for CK7. I actually see Upshaw as less of a liability than Suggs due to, a) he's seen similar O's as recently as last year, and b) Suggs is still not close to 100%.
    "CARPE LOMBARDI"




  10. #85
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    Re: how do we stop 49ers vaunted pistol offense?

    Quote Originally Posted by jaydee414 View Post
    Actually, I see Ngata, Suggs and Upshaw as the keys to this game for the Ravens. As Haloti92 & JeremiahW pointed out, the issue becomes edge discipline and inside physicality. Ngata/Kemo/Cody MUST account for Gore on EVERY play, and Upshaw and Suggs MUST maintain the edge on Kaepernick. He seems quick and fast enough that a momentary slip-up by our edge guys could equal a big gain for CK7. I actually see Upshaw as less of a liability than Suggs due to, a) he's seen similar O's as recently as last year, and b) Suggs is still not close to 100%.
    I think Upshaw will be a huge factor in this game. He's been great in the run game.

    From PFF:

    – Rookie outside linebacker Courtney Upshaw has a Run Stop Percentage of 9.8%, which is the second-best for 3-4 outside linebackers this year.




  11. #86
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    Re: how do we stop 49ers vaunted pistol offense?

    I'd fear the Falcon's WRs vs the 49ers. They have Crabtree (yawn) and an under-utilized Vernon Davis. Stack the box and send blitzes from all angles. IMO, we match up much better with 49ers.




  12. #87
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    Re: how do we stop 49ers vaunted pistol offense?

    If he runs the read option whether he keeps it or pitches it hit him. He would be a runner and not subject to roughing calls. Beat him up enough and it slow him down. Or see his reaction if Pollard is coming.




  13. #88
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    Re: how do we stop 49ers vaunted pistol offense?

    Quote Originally Posted by rla20cpa View Post
    I'd fear the Falcon's WRs vs the 49ers. They have Crabtree (yawn) and an under-utilized Vernon Davis. Stack the box and send blitzes from all angles. IMO, we match up much better with 49ers.
    I was worried about the Falcons WR's. They can strike quick. Would rather see the 49ers.




  14. #89
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    Re: how do we stop 49ers vaunted pistol offense?

    The problem I have with the "Just nail Kaepernick if he runs" school of thinking is that Kaepernick is so speedy that you may not get a shot on him at all. Either he runs out of bounds like he did in Atlanta or he runs right by you as he did against the Packers. I don't think you can gamble that 1 or 2 good shots will stop him from running. When I have seen him, I haven't seen him be reckless (like RGIII) and exposing himself to big hits. He's been fairly smart about when to run, when to pitch it, when to throw and how to protect himself.

    I think we have to do better than that. The key would be to set the edge and maintain the pocket with Suggs, Ngata, Upshaw and Cody/Kemo. That's easier said than done. That would probably mean minimum 3 yard runs for Gore every time and very little pass rush. But it might be enough to contain Kaepernick. The problem comes if we have to commit more than 4 or 5 to this strategy. That will open up space for Kaepernick, Davis, Crabtree, etc.

    It's a little bit of pick your poison -- which means that on defense we have to mitigate the damage (knowing full well they will get their yards) and to have the offense continue to perform well.




  15. #90
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    Re: how do we stop 49ers vaunted pistol offense?

    I actually watched a good bit of CK7 when he was at Nevada, and he was, at times, scary good then. The Wolf Pack just didn't have the supporting cast to help push him to a household name. (Plus, when did ESPN, etc... EVER give a rat's ass about Nevada football?). I just don't think the Ravens will get a lot of "good hits" on him in the SB, certainly not enough to make him kick you with his Uggs.
    Contrary to what seem to be the majority, I would have rather faced ATL. The Elite, Omnipotent, Non-Stinky Farting Matty IceCold doesn't concern me NEAR as much as Kaepernick.
    "CARPE LOMBARDI"




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