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  1. #16

    Re: The Ravens are 99+% certain of going to the playoffs



    Seriously unlikely that Houston craps the bed against the colts twice and if that happens, i find it even more unlikely the Ravens lose out at the same time.




  2. #17
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    Re: The Ravens are 99+% certain of going to the playoffs

    Quote Originally Posted by Corey View Post
    Pitt vs Cinci ending in a tie is the only way we get eliminated? LMAO. The Ravens are the luckiest fuckers in the world. The rest of that scenario is plausible, even likely but #3 is just not going to happen.
    Lucky? We won games.




  3. #18
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    Re: The Ravens are 99+% certain of going to the playoffs

    Quote Originally Posted by Corey View Post
    Pitt vs Cinci ending in a tie is the only way we get eliminated? LMAO. The Ravens are the luckiest fuckers in the world. The rest of that scenario is plausible, even likely but #3 is just not going to happen.
    um they beat pitt and cinci. that's not luck.




  4. #19
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    Re: The Ravens are 99+% certain of going to the playoffs

    Quote Originally Posted by Ravenalytics View Post
    Lucky? We won games.
    Quote Originally Posted by Paintballguy View Post
    um they beat pitt and cinci. that's not luck.
    They can continue to botch game after game and still make the playoffs, that's luck.




  5. #20
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    Re: The Ravens are 99+% certain of going to the playoffs

    Quote Originally Posted by Corey View Post
    Pitt vs Cinci ending in a tie is the only way we get eliminated? LMAO. The Ravens are the luckiest fuckers in the world. The rest of that scenario is plausible, even likely but #3 is just not going to happen.
    Yeah, no shit -- I got to wondering just what it would take to send this team home before New Year's & started looking at the standings & the playoff tiebreakers & the closer I looked the more I wondered why the hell they hadn't already clinched an appearance--& then it hit me...

    I'd estimate the chances are about 2% of the #2 seed (most likely by winning out with NE losing at least once), 8% of the #3 seed (beat DEN but NE wins as many of the rest), 40% of the #4 seed, 5% of the #5 seed (requires Indy to lose the remainder), 44.99% of the #6 seed, and 0.01% home for New Year's. But that's just me...




  6. #21
    iggyman555 Guest

    Re: The Ravens are 99+% certain of going to the playoffs

    Quote Originally Posted by Ravenboy2003 View Post
    The only saving grace is that we should have some guys healthy by the WC weekend and for some oddball reason the Harbaugh Ravens play great in week 1 of the playoffs. (4-0, I believe)
    we shit the bed vs the texans last year we almost lost to their 3rd string qb, the only reason we won is on our team now, JJ




  7. #22

    Re: The Ravens are 99+% certain of going to the playoffs

    Quote Originally Posted by Boulderraven View Post
    and also a 99.99% chance of being elimated in the playoffs as well. I hope it doesnt sell out a home game WC game, to show a statement. I wouldnt be shelling out $360 dollars this year. This team isnt worth my money. The ONLY reason, I might consider going is that it could be Ray's last game, that is THE ONLY REASON. Getting rid of my PSL's section 152 because I think they will go down in value. I go to half the games and my kids the other half. 2 seats section 152. Hit me up for offer, going rate is 30-35K for both seats.
    All this time I thought you had turned in your fancard months ago...




  8. #23

    Re: The Ravens are 99+% certain of going to the playoffs

    Quote Originally Posted by lobachevsky View Post
    With Cincy & Pitts both losing today, the Ravens are one very-low-probability scenario away from clinching a postseason berth.

    Presume the Ravens lose the rest of their regular season games. They limp in at 9-7, 4-2 AFCN, 8-4 AFC, 8-6 in common games with PGH.

    The only other team not leading its division with less than 6 losses is the Colts. Presume they get the first wild card at 10-6 or better.

    There are 3 other AFC teams currently with 7 losses or less: NYJ, CIN, PGH.

    BAL would get the 2nd WC over NYJ on the strength of AFC record, since there's no head-to-head & the Jests have 5 losses in the conference.

    CIN plays PGH in Week 16. If PGH wins, CIN finishes 9-7 at best, 2-4 AFCN. If PGH finishes 10-6, it wins the AFCN outright; if PGH finishes at 9-7, then head-to-head results vs the other 2 teams gives PGH the AFCN (PGH 3-1, BAL 2-2, CIN 1-3), BAL eliminates CIN for the wild card based on overall head to head or on divisional record, then eliminates NYJ if necessary as above.

    If CIN wins out (beats @PHA, @PGH & then BAL) it wins the AFCN at 10-6. Then PGH finishes 9-7 at best, 4-2 AFCN, 8-6 in common games with BAL (both went 1-1 in uncommon games), 5-7 AFC, and BAL eliminates PGH based on better conference record & eliminates NYJ if necessary as above.

    If CIN loses @PHA but then wins out to finish 9-7, then BAL wins the AFCN if PGH loses again (@DAL or CLE) based on better division record (4-2 vs 3-3). If PGH also finishes 9-7, then head-to-head is a wash in the 3-way trainwreck (all teams at 2-2) and BAL again wins the AFCN, this time on better division record (4-2 vs 3-3 for the others).

    In fact there is precisely one way in which the Ravens can now be eliminated from the postseason:
    1. IND finishes no worse than 10-6;
    2. CIN & PGH both win in Week 15 and Week 17; and
    3. CIN@PGH (Week 16) ends in a tie.

    In this case both CIN & PGH finish 9-6-1, one wins the AFCN & the other gets the second WC.

    So on the first weekend in January it is almost certain that the Ravens will host the Colts as the #4 seed, or travel to Denver or Foxboro as the #6 seed.

    Whether you consider that a good or bad thing after the last 2 weeks probably depends on your capacity for generating irrational optimism &/or absorbing bitter heartbreak...
    If all three teams (Ravens, steelers, bengals) go 9-7, we win the division. Right now, the Ravens are 4-1 in the division, while the steelers are 2-2. Even if we both go 4-2 in the divison, the steelers have more conference losses. The Bengals have 3 division losses, so they lose the tie-breaker.

    Today's loss is a lot more palatable with the steelers & bengals both losing. It guaranteed us no lower than 2nd in the AFC North.




  9. #24

    Re: The Ravens are 99+% certain of going to the playoffs

    Quote Originally Posted by pslholder96 View Post
    All this time I thought you had turned in your fancard months ago...
    I have. Just go to half the games, my kids the other half. PSL is valuable but can see it going down in price as the Ravens decline. Not a NFL football fan as much, because of many things Rule changes, officiating getting worse. I enjoy the Orioles and baseball more, game is more on the up and up and the Orioles have a bright future. May use money from selling PSL's to buy Oriole Season tickets. I critique the Ravens win or lose, not a well coached team. Nothing anybody can say will change that.




  10. #25

    Re: The Ravens are 99+% certain of going to the playoffs

    Quote Originally Posted by Boulderraven View Post
    I have. Just go to half the games, my kids the other half. PSL is valuable but can see it going down in price as the Ravens decline. Not a NFL football fan as much, because of many things Rule changes, officiating getting worse. I enjoy the Orioles and baseball more, game is more on the up and up and the Orioles have a bright future. May use money from selling PSL's to buy Oriole Season tickets. I critique the Ravens win or lose, not a well coached team. Nothing anybody can say will change that.
    You continue to post passionately here, mostly negative of course. Deep down inside you still care so I'm calling BS on your admission




  11. #26

    Re: The Ravens are 99+% certain of going to the playoffs

    Quote Originally Posted by pslholder96 View Post
    You continue to post passionately here, mostly negative of course. Deep down inside you still care so I'm calling BS on your admission
    Only on Sundays maybe Monday morning my off days. Wife works some Sunday nights nothing better to do this time of year, too cold to fish or golf and no longer a skier. Boredom. Havent watched a non-raven game this year in it's entirety. Is thier something better to do? Actually finishing up Ken Burns documentaries on Netflix on the WAR and Baseball, incredible you should check it out.




  12. #27
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    Re: The Ravens are 99+% certain of going to the playoffs

    Quote Originally Posted by steelerhater View Post
    If all three teams (Ravens, steelers, bengals) go 9-7, we win the division. Right now, the Ravens are 4-1 in the division, while the steelers are 2-2. Even if we both go 4-2 in the divison, the steelers have more conference losses. The Bengals have 3 division losses, so they lose the tie-breaker.
    Um, I explained all that in the original post. I guess you didn't bother to read it--
    Today's loss is a lot more palatable with the steelers & bengals both losing. It guaranteed us no lower than 2nd in the AFC North.
    --specifically because as I also explained, there is no such guarantee. If there is a tie between Pittsburgh & Cincinnati & each team wins its other two games & the Ravens lose their last 3, that leaves Pittsburgh winning the division at 9-6-1 on tiebreaks over Cincinnati, also 9-6-1, and the Ravens at 9-7 finish 3rd & (unless the Colts lose their last 3 games) out of the postseason. This (highly improbable) scenario is the only reason the Ravens have not already clinched a playoff spot.




  13. #28

    Re: The Ravens are 99+% certain of going to the playoffs

    Quote Originally Posted by Boulderraven View Post
    Only on Sundays maybe Monday morning my off days. Wife works some Sunday nights nothing better to do this time of year, too cold to fish or golf and no longer a skier. Boredom. Havent watched a non-raven game this year in it's entirety. Is thier something better to do? Actually finishing up Ken Burns documentaries on Netflix on the WAR and Baseball, incredible you should check it out.
    Too cold for golf? I didn't care for Ken Burn's baseball series for some reason. f you want to see a really good one, try the 3-part series "When it was a game"




  14. #29

    Re: The Ravens are 99+% certain of going to the playoffs

    Quote Originally Posted by steelerhater View Post
    I don't know about that. MLB is still a league of haves and have nots. The Orioles had an amazing season, but now the yankees will probably sign Josh Hamilton and one or two former Cy Young award winners and push their payroll to around $400 million. Its almost impossible to compete with that year in and year out.
    The game has not changed cause of the New Rules for Offense and hits and just flat out terrible officiating. Replay was ONLY intended to reverse OBVIOUS BAD CALLS not controversial ones. The call on the feild should stand if not 100% incorrect, the replacement officials were much better using relay than these regular referees. Todays Reed recovery should have stayed Ravens ball, wasnt conclusive enough to CHANGE it.




  15. #30
    "As the Ravens decline"

    Smh

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