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  1. #31
    iggyman555 Guest

    Re: Is everybody really overlooking this?



    Quote Originally Posted by MD Boy View Post
    I'm surprised it's been overlooked that we won the coin toss in OT and we chose to Receive rather than Punt.

    Rookie QB coming off the bench - yes, I'm aware he already scored a TD on us - but you hold them to a 3 & Out and play for field position.

    With the new rules, I thought that was the strategy?
    i agree, if RGIII is out there i take the ball otherwise kick




  2. #32

    Re: Is everybody really overlooking this?

    Quote Originally Posted by Ravenous1 View Post
    I see no scenario were making a team score both the TD and the 2pt conversion is not beneficial.

    Yes getting the 2pt conversion ensures the win, IF YOU MAKE IT.

    By going for it, you put the pressure of successfully converting it on your team instead of the opposition. That makes no sense to me. I agree with the decision. You have the opportunity to make the opposing team put the ball in the end zone TWICE, you make em do it. The fact the Ravens were not able to stop them is why they lost...not the decision.

    If they had gone for two there and missed and then the Skins tied the game on a TD and PAT are you seriously gonna tell me you would have been ok with that? Even so, I would venture the vast vast majority of NFL coaches would not even give going for 2pt there a second thought.
    You see no scenario except the one you finally mentioned. You succeed, you win. That is the pro. You fail, and the other team, if they score a TD, only has to kick a PAT to tie vs getting a 2-pter. That is the con. They are weighed to determine which decision is better.

    No, if you go for 2 and fail all you are doing is saying that IF the other team scores a TD you are going to OT, instead of IF the other team scores a TD and a 2-pter you are going to OT. No pressure, because in either case the worst outcome is OT (ignoring the once-every-two-decades ballsy coaching decision to go for 2 for the win, I think Vermeil was the last).

    Your last paragraph can be turned around. You saying "if the worst thing that possibly could happen would have happened would you still be okay with that" is uncompelling, because the answer is obvious. How about "if the team went for the 2 and got it would you not have been ok with that"?

    I agree that the vast majority of coaches kick there. For two reasons. One, is that according to league-average success rates for 2-pt conversions the math does say to kick (i.e. the odds of you making a 2-pter or them making their 2-pter are not high enough to make going for it worth it). And two, coaches are way too risk-averse in general. They routinely lower their chances of winning because they over-weight risks and under-weight rewards (and probably factor in that the average fan cannot comprehend the math and would therefore criticize an unconventional, but smart, decision that fails; and criticism is to be avoided for job security)




  3. #33

    Re: Is everybody really overlooking this?

    Quote Originally Posted by Michael Logan View Post
    On the last td, Harbaugh elected to kick the extra point to make it 28-20 instead of going for 2 and possibly make it 29-20 and a 2 possession game. Even if the 2 pt fails, its still 27-20 and this isn't college so they won't go for 2 to win the game when they score. IMO, that is what cost us the game. Everyone wants to point the finger at Cam and Pees, but the head coach is what is holding this team back. He is the one who needs to grow some nuts and fire Cam and play to WIN the game, not play to not lose the game.
    You can't be serious. There isn't a coach in the world (NFL, College, High school, whatever...)who wouldn't have kicked the extra point to go up by 8. If Harbaugh goes for 2 and doesn't make it, he would be destroyed (and rightfully so) on every NFL tv/radio show in the country.




  4. #34

    Re: Is everybody really overlooking this?

    Quote Originally Posted by Ravenous1 View Post
    All of your arguments work on the assumption that your defense cant stop them. You cant just make that assumption...even with an injury ridden D

    Going for two there would have been dumb. It would have made it easier for the Skins to tie. Instead of arguing about the call which was correct...... worry about the D which let them get it and maybe, just maybe give the Skins some credit for some good playcalling ...something we know nothing about here.
    No, all my assumptions do not work on anything of the sort. Let me find the Dallas thread so I don't have to repeat the arguments.

    Stop telling me that a failed risk is bad, while ignoring the good in a successful risk. It is obvious and doesn't support your argument. It would have been easier for the Skins to tie IF we don't get the 2 pointer. That is the cost of a failed decision. The reward of asuccessful decision is that the game is OVER, which is not an option when you kick the PAT.




  5. #35

    Re: Is everybody really overlooking this?

    Quote Originally Posted by steelerhater View Post
    You can't be serious. There isn't a coach in the world (NFL, College, High school, whatever...)who wouldn't have kicked the extra point to go up by 8. If Harbaugh goes for 2 and doesn't make it, he would be destroyed (and rightfully so) on every NFL tv/radio show in the country.
    I agree with this, but they have a great 2 pt play, but wasted vs Oakland up 24 points. I would have kicked.




  6. #36

    Re: Is everybody really overlooking this?

    Quote Originally Posted by Ravenous1 View Post
    http://www.theredzone.org/Features/T...sionChart.aspx

    Thats the chart most NFL coaches go by.....it clearly states taking the PAT.

    If you want to make an argument for going for it, its not based on Math its based on gut feeling or a conviction that your D cant keep them out the end zone and stop the two point conversion.
    Wrong it is based on either: above average confidence in your own offense getting it and/or lack of confidence in your defense stopping their two. The chart is basic and uses standard assumptions (probably based on league-wide averages). But every matchup/game does not go according to league average.

    Here is how to look at it simply. What if someone assured you that our odds of making the two pointer was 80%. Do you go for it or kick the PAT? In other words, there are 4 black balls and one white ball in a bag, and if you pull out a black ball, we make the 2. Do you kick or go for it?




  7. #37

    Re: Is everybody really overlooking this?

    You need to use the college stategy in OT nowdays. Against Manning or Brady maybe I take the ball, but not against ROOKIE Cousins.




  8. #38

    Re: Is everybody really overlooking this?

    Here is the Dallas thread on the issue:

    http://russellstreetreport.com/forum...ealed-the-game




  9. #39

    Re: Is everybody really overlooking this?

    They should have LOST the Dallas game. If not for a penalty and a missed FG.




  10. #40
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    Re: Is everybody really overlooking this?

    Quote Originally Posted by Ravenous1 View Post
    HUH????
    This whole post just shows a complete lack of football knowledge.
    Why would you put yourself in a position to allow a TD and PAT tie the game if you miss the 2 pt conversion.
    If you think the board is on a witch hunt now...geez....
    Going for the 2 pt conversion there is the wrong move period the end.....it would have been an EPIC demonstration of stupidity
    Yup. THe 2 point conversion is a 25% play. Extra point is a 99% play. You don't go for 2 unless you have no other choice. By making the extra point the Redskins were forced to go for 2. Unfortunately for us they beat the odds and converted.
    He Who Dares.....Wins




  11. #41

    Re: Is everybody really overlooking this?

    Quote Originally Posted by akashicrecorder View Post
    I thought we only had one time-out?
    We had one timeout and 29 seconds to work with. I had hoped the ravens would have run a couple of plays even if they were not high percentage.




  12. #42

    Re: Is everybody really overlooking this?

    Quote Originally Posted by GOTA View Post
    Yup. THe 2 point conversion is a 25% play. Extra point is a 99% play. You don't go for 2 unless you have no other choice. By making the extra point the Redskins were forced to go for 2. Unfortunately for us they beat the odds and converted.
    From 2000-2009 the league average for converting 2 point attempts was 47.9%. I think offenses would be even more successful in the last three years (though haven't seen any data) due to the extra protections they have received by rule changes.

    And that is league-average. Each game and matchup is different, so if you think the offenses have been getting the better of the defenses, those odds could be considered to be above 50%. Also, it isn't just our odds of getting it that matters when deciding, you also have to consider their odds of making a 2. And it is the same case, the higher their assumed odds are, the more likely it is better for us to go for it.

    All that said, our short yardage plays always scare me, and it wouldn't surprise me in the least if our odds, even against the Skins defense, should be considered well below league average. Then again our short yardage defense also scares me, so maybe they cancel, lol.




  13. #43

    Re: Is everybody really overlooking this?

    Its more likely they miss going for two than going for an extra point. so yeah 29 would have been nice, but even so 28 meant they had one chance to get 2 and just as easily could have closed it out. Instead we let him tip toe into the endzone...

    I think the bigger coaching issue was taking a knee with 47 seconds left. I can understand that time wasnt on your side, but youre not even sure youre going to get the ball in OT so why not at least do a screen pass or run play and see what happens. Gutless call. Then the 3 and 6 in OT where the line broke down as they zoom 10-15 yards out without a WR in sight before flacco eventually tries to run for it was just a joke. How many times are we going to face a 3rd and manageable just to send everyone deep. Its asinine.
    -JAB




  14. #44
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    Re: Is everybody really overlooking this?

    Do any of you see us running a successful play, like what the Redskins did? Cam would NEVER think of spreading the D out and having Joe run for it do you?




  15. #45
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    They would've fucked it up anyway
    World Domination 3 Points at a Time!




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