While I do not share your disdain in the polls in general, that new CBS / NYT Poll does seem suspect.
I don't buy a 10 point lead in Ohio and that poll seems to have skewed the average up quite a bit.
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While I do not share your disdain in the polls in general, that new CBS / NYT Poll does seem suspect.
I don't buy a 10 point lead in Ohio and that poll seems to have skewed the average up quite a bit.
A guy was on TV this morning, I didn't get his name, but he said don't pay attention to them because it's
mostly the media pimping their favs and they're so skewed with unlikely voters. He said you really have to
average them all out.
He had Florida even which Mitt must have to win and Ohio was even too.
So don't believe all these big leads for OBY.
Bottom line, with the margin of error, it's a dead heat but someone will rise after the debates. That is
where Mitt must shine and when the rest of the undecideds will make up their minds.
OBY only needs 5 more elect votes to win according to this
latest real clear map. Ohio is in the light blue but Florida is
still up for grabs.
Even Rasmussen has OBY up by +2 in the general polls as
every poll on this site has OBY up by at least +2, some
more.
Amazing, completely amazing.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...llege_map.html
No change in status of the toss ups, but they polls are showing all the states are tightening or Romney opening a lead.
I've said it before, I wasn't buying the polls (doesn't mean I was right) so I wonder if they're getting accurate now for credibility or the debate made that much of a difference. Maybe both?
http://realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/
A second debate success is crucial for both candidates. This may very well sway the election one way of the other.
And not to beat a dad horse, but damn, I wish now more than ever Mitt pounced after the healthcare ruling. This could be a blow out of epic proportions had he handled that better. Instead we still have a nail biter.
Penn and Wisc have moved to toss up, though in Rasmussen he has BHO at 51% for both.
I would also say keep an eye on Oregon and Minnesota.