Re: New draft/FA/offseason thread
Any TCU fans around here to testify on the behalf of WR Josh Boyce?
Re: New draft/FA/offseason thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by
jonboy79
Thanks or the clarification.
Are you suggesting that taking Johnson in the teens is overdrafting him when...
Sam Baker, Duane Brown(who has become very good), Bryan Bulaga, Riley Reiff, etc were all drafted in that range to the end of the first, and IMO were all not nearly the LT prospect that johnson is? OR do you think at draft time that the majority of that list were better LT prospects?
I think every single year LT prospects go from 2nd round to in the first round by draft time because draftnicks simply put too low a positional value at the LT position. Call it overdrafting if you want,but GM's show us each and every year that THEY value the position as highly qas any other position besidesQB.
So knowing that you have to trade up Johnson, how much are you willing to give up to draft him?
Re: New draft/FA/offseason thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by
jonboy79
Thanks or the clarification.
Are you suggesting that taking Johnson in the teens is overdrafting him when...
Sam Baker, Duane Brown(who has become very good), Bryan Bulaga, Riley Reiff, etc were all drafted in that range to the end of the first, and IMO were all not nearly the LT prospect that johnson is? OR do you think at draft time that the majority of that list were better LT prospects?
I think every single year LT prospects go from 2nd round to in the first round by draft time because draftnicks simply put too low a positional value at the LT position. Call it overdrafting if you want,but GM's show us each and every year that THEY value the position as highly qas any other position besidesQB.
I disagree with everything in this post.
Bryan Bulaga and Riley Reiff for example were all projected as top-15 picks by the "draftniks". They fell on draft day because a number of GMs picking in that range didn't like what they had to offer. I don't think Lane Johnson is as good a prospect as literally any of those guys, frankly, with the possible exception of Reiff. Really don't think there's evidence to support this notion that there are tons of 2nd round OTs that are leaping up into the 1st. If that happens this year it will be a function of the weak prospects at the class more than any kind of "trend."
NOBODY is putting too low a value on the LT position. The last time at least 1 OT wasn't taken in the top 10 picks of the first round was 2005, and there have been 24 OTs drafted in the 1st round since that year. That's tied with DT and RB as the 3rd most drafted position in the 1st after DE and WR.
Lane Johnson is leaping wayyy up draft boards at this point because he had a good Senior Bowl and this is a weak class of OTs. Let's wait a while to see where his stock stabilizes, but I absolutely do not believe he is worth trading up more than a handful of picks for. He's just not that good of a player.
Re: New draft/FA/offseason thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by
GOTA
So knowing that you have to trade up Johnson, how much are you willing to give up to draft him?
1st, 2nd and whatever we can get for Dickson.
Re: New draft/FA/offseason thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by
BigPlayReceiver
Just my $.02...
ILB need > FS need
I think our starting FS will be acquired/determined this summer no matter who we draft. Not to say that guy will start all 16, but as much as I like Elam, I'd be greatly concerned with any 2013 FS being our day 1 starter.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
leachisabeast
Yeah I agree with this. I just have a feeling that if we don't sign Reed, which is up in the air to say the least, Ozzie will sign a safety, they come cheap, it wont be Goldson (overrated anyway, shit in coverage) but it will be a decent player. Besides, Christian Thompson may be better than everyone thinks, nobody really knows anything about Thompson, his tape is very limited.
ILB is a huge need IMO, simply because we have ZERO athletic coverage LB's on the roster, we need more speed there. We need more than a defense built to stop the Steelers in todays NFL, we are now competing with the likes of the Patriots, and the Broncos and need to defend the pass better over the middle.
Where is all this phantom money to sign these FAs going to come from? After Ray Lewis' retirement and tendering RFAs the Ravens are projected to have 5m in cap space next year. Adjust that number up by a million or two AT BEST if some RFAs are non-tendered. The BEST case scenario is signing Flacco to a long term deal that will have a 2013 cap number of 5-7m... so there goes all your cap space right there! If in the WORST case scenario they put the exclusive franchise tag on Flacco they're going to be close to 15 million over the cap!!! That not only means NO free agents, it will mean gutting the team in a HUGE way.
I think the Ravens have to prepare to put the tag on Flacco, even if only the non-exclusive tag. That would put them 7-10m over the cap. That means NO free agents WHATSOEVER and it means cutting at a minimum Birk, Williams, and Leach, and working a lot of magic with re-structures/extensions/etc for guys like Boldin, Jacoby, Oher, Yanda, Ngata, etc. That's just to get UNDER the cap--again, no FA signings even remotely possible.
Even if the most miraculous event imaginable happens (which is Flacco signing a deal before March 4th), his 2013 cap hit will eat up 7m or so. If they still cut Birk, Williams, and Leach, they'll have 6-7m to play with, and can fiddle with the numbers for other guys to free up a bit more. Then you'd probably be able to bring back Ellerbe, possibly McKinnie if the Ravens are interested, and/or maybe a few street guys like a Terrance Knighton or Kenny Phillips.
Re: New draft/FA/offseason thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by
bmorecareful
I disagree with everything in this post.
Bryan Bulaga and Riley Reiff for example were all projected as top-15 picks by the "draftniks". They fell on draft day because a number of GMs picking in that range didn't like what they had to offer. I don't think Lane Johnson is as good a prospect as literally any of those guys, frankly, with the possible exception of Reiff. Really don't think there's evidence to support this notion that there are tons of 2nd round OTs that are leaping up into the 1st. If that happens this year it will be a function of the weak prospects at the class more than any kind of "trend."
NOBODY is putting too low a value on the LT position. The last time at least 1 OT wasn't taken in the top 10 picks of the first round was 2005, and there have been 24 OTs drafted in the 1st round since that year. That's tied with DT and RB as the 3rd most drafted position in the 1st after DE and WR.
Lane Johnson is leaping wayyy up draft boards at this point because he had a good Senior Bowl and this is a weak class of OTs. Let's wait a while to see where his stock stabilizes, but I absolutely do not believe he is worth trading up more than a handful of picks for. He's just not that good of a player.
SO you are really trying to say that Sam Baker was projected to be a first round pick, and fell into the 20's, and not only that, but that he was a better LT prospect then Johnson?
OK..... can't come close to agreeign with that. Dude was TINY, with TINY arms. He's shaped like a fire hydrant.
Bulaga was never thought much of as a LT prospect, and basically from early in the draft process was inked in at RT only, Reiff as well.
Re: New draft/FA/offseason thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by
jonboy79
1st, 2nd and whatever we can get for Dickson.
No way would I spend 3 picks on Johnson. I have no worry about Ozzie doing that either.
Re: New draft/FA/offseason thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by
GOTA
No way would I spend 3 picks on Johnson. I have no worry about Ozzie doing that either.
You are probably right. Ozzie is probably planning to go back to Oher at LT. And our offense will take a step backwards for doing so.
Until we make a move like this, we will have average to poor play at LT, and to me that is far from ideal.
We also have AT LEAST 3 more picks then roster spots available. No need to keep 11 picks, and IMO no need to keep Dickson.
Re: New draft/FA/offseason thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by
jonboy79
You are probably right. Ozzie is probably planning to go back to Oher at LT. And our offense will take a step backwards for doing so.
Until we make a move like this, we will have average to poor play at LT, and to me that is far from ideal.
We also have AT LEAST 3 more picks then roster spots available. No need to keep 11 picks, and IMO no need to keep Dickson.
Bringing McKinnie back is still an option. It's hard to know how much he is worth on the open market given his history. It's possible that the Ravens could sign him to a 2 year deal that makes sense.
I don't see the Ravens keeping Dickson once he becomes a UFA but they always tender their RFAs so I think he's coming back. I'm not a big fan either and wouldn't mind if they let him go and replaced him with a draft pick but I don't see it happening.
Re: New draft/FA/offseason thread
See, here is my issue. I don't think the Ravens are in a position to fully trust McKinnie for an entire season, without a backup plan. However, I also don't think the Ravens are in a position to fully trust a rookie LT for an entire season, without a backup plan. OTHER THAN OHER.
So, for me, I think they have to resign McKinnie AND draft a LT. Unless, of course, they get RYAN CLADY!!!
Re: New draft/FA/offseason thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by
jonboy79
1st, 2nd and whatever we can get for Dickson.
Let's get crazy and throw in a second 2nd + ??? and get Fisher!
Re: New draft/FA/offseason thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by
jonboy79
Until we make a move like this, we will have average to poor play at LT, and to me that is far from ideal.
This. Many posters have done the research and seen that LT's outside the top 15 don't generally play above average, league wide.
So until they get a guy like that, there will be average play on the left side. We've seen what that leads to: inconsistent offense and a 10-6 regular season record. We've seen what above-average play has given us: a Super Bowl.
McKinnie won't be around much longer, and theres no guarantee he resigns here next year or maintains his level of play.
If the Ravens want to increase the level of play at the LT position, they will have to do this eventually. Why not do it when they have 11 picks to work with?