Speaking of polls, Romney leading among WOMEN in new CBS/NYT poll.
All that "war on women" bullshit is starting to unravel.
http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Governm...-against-obama
Liberals are going to be pissed that women actually care more about the economy than they do what Libs want them to care about.
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Re: Speaking of polls, Romney leading among WOMEN in new CBS/NYT poll.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...bama-1171.html
Different polls show different things. I don't doubt the accuracy of that poll, but one poll isn't even close to a good indication of the overall election cycle.
Also, if this site is accurate, then the sample size for that particular poll was quite small.
Re: Speaking of polls, Romney leading among WOMEN in new CBS/NYT poll.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
StingerNLG
Well, if we are going by that, the last three polls then either have Romney leading, or Obama ahead by just +1. And Gallop has had Romney up a lot more than they have had Obama up.
The bottom line is that this poll is not one you can spin for Obama as good news. An 8 point swing in women in a 36D/30R/44I split says that in a time when there is this supposed "war on women" by Republicans, and the incumbent President is supposed to walk on water and has (as his wife has said publicly) brought the country up from the ashes, against a supposed boring rich white guy who wants to of course destroy the country for the sake of giving his rich friends tax cuts, is not good. And now multiple polls have the Republican ahead or within the margin for error. And we aren't even at the Conventions yet.
I keep saying as G-dlike as the media and Democrats are proclaiming Obama to be, and as evil and uncaring as the media and Democrats are making Mitt out to be, Obama should be running away with this. He should be 10 points at least up on Romney. This is bad news now matter how you try to move it around.
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Democrats have shown time and time again that even against a terrible candidate, they can easily lose. Look at Bush vs Kerry for example. I'm not trying to move anything around. I was just pointing out that the data you presented is just one representation. I'll give you that the polls are close overall. It amuses me how much sensationalist language people on this board use though.
Re: Speaking of polls, Romney leading among WOMEN in new CBS/NYT poll.
Oh gee, that was so nice of you to say the polls are so close.
You finally got something right.
Re: Speaking of polls, Romney leading among WOMEN in new CBS/NYT poll.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
HoustonRaven
It's still Obama's race to lose.
There is no change in the electoral math the past few weeks. The only movement I saw on the RealClearPolitics maps was Minnesota went from light blue, to dark blue and then back to light blue.
The media from both sides love popularity polls but they don't hold a candle to the state-by-state electoral polls. And Mitt has a lot of catching up to do.
At this point, I wouldn't make a bet on either side. We have a very volatile election this year.
Re: Speaking of polls, Romney leading among WOMEN in new CBS/NYT poll.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
StingerNLG
That is my point. These polls are beginning to show a movement that Obama is starting to panic over.
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unless you know how to read an electoral map which it appears you don't. Here's one for you and it is even the conservative version at RCPs so you can stop whining about the media and all the other gripes you have:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...llege_map.html
Obama 243 Romney 170. Still an eternity to go but unless Romney can find a way to get on the offense here he will continue to just counter Obama's first move.
By the way, in case you don't know 270 is the winner.
Re: Speaking of polls, Romney leading among WOMEN in new CBS/NYT poll.
I don't see where the state polls have moved .... yet.
RCP has been dead on accurate the past three elections and there has been zero movement in the states. That said, there has been little polling of likely voters in any swing states lately.
My guess, Obama lost NC (15 EV's) for sure. He's going to be in a TON of trouble in VA (13 EV's) and Ohio (18 EV's). For the sake of argument, give those states to Mitt. That makes the number 216 most likely.